Impact of Recent USD Trends on the Coffee Market – a Retrospective
The US #dollar is one of the many factors (of which fundamentals are primary) that influence the #coffeemarket. Notably in the last two...
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Ryan Delany
Aug 9, 20226 min read
Lay of the Land
#Coffee has confounded both bulls and bears with a sideways movement after one of the most dramatic bull markets in a generation. Since...
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Ryan Delany
May 25, 20228 min read
Changing Landscape in the Coffee Market
The #coffeemarket is in a very different dynamic than it was 3 months ago, and we are getting near to a new paradigm: the bear market. In...
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Ryan Delany
Apr 21, 20225 min read
Understanding the US Dollar Impact on the Coffee Market – Part 2 – Predicting the USD
The #USD directly impacts the price of #coffee (and all #commodities): Dollar strength lowers the prices of commodities and coffee, and...
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Ryan Delany
Feb 18, 20227 min read
Understanding the US Dollar Impact on the Coffee Market - Part 1
#Coffee is both a financial product and a global #commodity. It is cultivated, consumed, shipped and traded across almost every country...
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Ryan Delany
Jan 18, 20227 min read
Real Deal on the Brazilian Real: How Brazilian Forex Influences the Coffee Market
Our first rule of our coffee trading rules is “Know Brazil, know the BRL”. #Brazil is the powerhouse of the #coffeemarket. Boasting the...
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Ryan Delany
Nov 30, 20214 min read
OMG, Omicron! and the Effects on the Coffee Market
Today Fed Chairman Powell gave testimony before the US Senate where he cautioned on the economic impact of the #Omicron Variant on the US...
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Ryan Delany
Sep 2, 20213 min read
The Struggle for $2 Coffee, Comparison with 2014
4 days in a row now #CoffeeMarket has tried and failed to break the psychologically significant 200 level. Back in 2014 #coffeefutures...
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Ryan Delany
Aug 5, 20215 min read
A Macro Boon for Coffee
Yesterday the #BrazilianCentral Bank announced a rate increase of 1% to combat the rising #inflation. This is the largest increase since...
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Ryan Delany
Jul 13, 20212 min read
The Pied Piper of Coffee
Back in October 2020, the Pied Piper of the Brazil drought led away all of the bearish Rats from the #CoffeeMarket, and now he has...
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Ryan Delany
Jul 8, 20213 min read
FOMC Might be Bullish Coffee
I read the Federal Reserve minutes so you don't have to! Steady as she goes from the #FederalReserve. This may disappoint #USD bulls who...
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Ryan Delany
Jun 20, 20213 min read
The Doomsday and Mini-Doomsday Inflation Scenarios
The #FederalReserve's #FOMC met this past week, and the results are relevant to us in the #coffeemarket, and indeed all of the...
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Ryan Delany
Jun 10, 20212 min read
The Truth about Inflation and Coffee
The #CPI numbers came out and they were high, even higher than expected. The numbers for May were an increase of 0.6% which was 50%...
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Ryan Delany
Jun 1, 20212 min read
Are Rate Hikes Coming? Does it Matter?
#Currencies and #FX are notoriously difficult to predict because they do not exist in a vacuum, one #currency affects all others. That...
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Ryan Delany
May 16, 20211 min read
Brazilian Central Bank (BCB) vs Sinovac vs Coffee
Update: Brazil to receive shipments Brazil to receive ingredients from China for 25 million vaccine shots in coming days (yahoo.com) Last...
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Ryan Delany
May 11, 20212 min read
*The Commodities vs Coffee*
"When all you have is a hammer, all of your problems look like nails." As a "coffee guy" or "coffee gal", it can be very easy to get...
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