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Intro As fundamental analysts, we believe prices are primarily driven by #supply and #demand. However, we also recognize the significant...
Ryan Delany
Mar 28, 20237 min read
State of the Coffee Market
Half-Pregnant We are in a particularly awkward moment in #coffee, and the stakes are high for the direction of price. Already faced by...
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Ryan Delany
Jan 10, 20235 min read
Coffee Destination Stocks – A Guide
In #Coffee, and in many #commodities like it, stocks (inventory levels) drive price. This is particularly true in coffee because the...
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Ryan Delany
Nov 8, 20227 min read
Coffee Supply and Demand Made Easy
Understanding the #SupplyandDemand (S&D) balance sheet is essential for any professional #trader, but can also be extremely daunting. ...
1,062 views0 comments
Igor Bragato
Sep 21, 20223 min read
Brazilian Coffee Market Outlook - With Cocapec
On Sep 1st, 2022 we spoke with Adilson Machado, the manager of Cocapec, one Brazil’s premier Coffee Coops. Adilson himself is deeply...
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Ryan Delany
Aug 9, 20226 min read
Lay of the Land
#Coffee has confounded both bulls and bears with a sideways movement after one of the most dramatic bull markets in a generation. Since...
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Ryan Delany
Jul 7, 20228 min read
Spreadpocalypse Now
Recently a #coffee researcher friend of mine and I were discussing one of the key topics driving the #coffeemarket today: the disastrous...
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Ryan Delany
Jun 17, 20225 min read
Cert Stocks Below 1 Million, What Next?
One of the key components that I use, when trying to ascertain fair value of #coffeefutures is the #certifiedinventory, and the outlook...
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Ryan Delany
Jun 8, 20225 min read
Understanding Fundamentals – the 2nd Most Important Skill a Trader Needs
Understanding the #fundamentals, the environment of #coffee #supply and #demand is the second most important skill that a #coffeetrader...
1,183 views0 comments
Ryan Delany
May 25, 20228 min read
Changing Landscape in the Coffee Market
The #coffeemarket is in a very different dynamic than it was 3 months ago, and we are getting near to a new paradigm: the bear market. In...
591 views0 comments
Ryan Delany
May 3, 20226 min read
The Frost Rally is Over—Whats Next?
#Coffee prices have crossed the 200 day SMA 4 out of the last 5 trading sessions, and last week marks the first time that this key...
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Ryan Delany
Mar 23, 20225 min read
End of the Rally?
Over the last month and a half #coffee has lost 50c or nearly 20% of its value from peak to trough after a historic #bullmarket that saw...
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Ryan Delany
Feb 24, 20225 min read
Russo-Ukraine Conflict and the Impact on Coffee (and Commodity) Markets
#Russia has begun aerial bombardment of #Ukraine, including in the capital city of Kiev this morning. What many had hoped (including me)...
1,242 views0 comments
Ryan Delany
Feb 18, 20227 min read
Understanding the US Dollar Impact on the Coffee Market - Part 1
#Coffee is both a financial product and a global #commodity. It is cultivated, consumed, shipped and traded across almost every country...
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Ryan Delany
Jan 12, 20228 min read
How I Teach Coffee Trading
On January 24th, I will be teaching my first “Coffee Trader’s Course” of the new year and I wanted to share a little bit about my...
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Ryan Delany
Nov 30, 20214 min read
OMG, Omicron! and the Effects on the Coffee Market
Today Fed Chairman Powell gave testimony before the US Senate where he cautioned on the economic impact of the #Omicron Variant on the US...
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Ryan Delany
Nov 1, 20215 min read
The Bear Case for Coffee
The #Robusta spec position hit an all time high of 43% of OI and #Brazilian #farmers are reportedly holding back sales, referring to...
549 views0 comments
Ryan Delany
Oct 18, 20213 min read
Coffee Report Focus #4: GCA Stocks
After last month's surprise GCA stocks report, many of us in the #coffee industry were watching closely this week's report, because the...
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Ryan Delany
Sep 29, 20211 min read
*#Coffee #Demand: The Results Are In!*
The results of last week's poll are in and the people have spoken: DEMAND is GOOD...or at least, better than expected. In the wake of the...
150 views0 comments
Ryan Delany
Sep 7, 20214 min read
The Trade is Bullish (the Roaster is Not)
Like yin and yang, the Law of #Supply and the of Law of #Demand are complementary economic truths: When prices are high, supply...
368 views0 comments
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