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Igor Bragato
Oct 18, 20225 min read
Objective Coffee Weather Analysis on a Global Scale
Since #Coffee is an agricultural product, the weather is an essential component in the #coffeemarket. The fact that we must rely on...
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Ryan Delany
Oct 11, 20225 min read
How the Coffee Market Inversion can Break Itself
One of the most striking features of the #coffeemarket in recent times is the high inversion of calendar spreads instigated by the record...
1,281 views0 comments
Igor Bragato
Oct 6, 20227 min read
How the Brazilian Elections Affect the Coffee Market
The Brazilian presidential elections are happening and the question that arises for us is: how does this affect the #coffeemarket? In...
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Ryan Delany
Oct 4, 20225 min read
Cert Stock Horror Show-Case Study of 1996
Halloween is coming this month, and in keeping with the spooky traditions of this month I want to share a number with all of my #coffee...
732 views0 comments
Ryan Delany
Sep 30, 20228 min read
Why Technical Analysis is Controversial (and How to Use it Properly)
Technical Analysis is one of those topics that divides a lot of people in the #trading community--some people love it, and some people...
902 views0 comments
Igor Bragato
Sep 1, 20226 min read
An Outlook of the Cerrado Coffee Crop in Brazil
On August 17th, we visited the city of Araguari, localized in the Cerrado Mineiro, one of Brazil’s main #coffee producing areas. Our...
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Ryan Delany
Aug 25, 20222 min read
Coffee Rallies 27c in 3 days, Bubble or Boom?
Just a few weeks ago #coffee was below $20 and the downtrend from $250 had decimated many bulls. However, since that peak bearishness,...
651 views0 comments
Ryan Delany
Aug 16, 20223 min read
Invasion of the Certs
There are now an impressive 263k bags of #coffee pending grading in Antwerp, and this puts a different spin on the bullishness of the...
450 views0 comments
Ryan Delany
Aug 11, 20223 min read
What the Latest Inflation Number Means for Coffee (and all Commodity) Prices
The overall framework in commodities is that a weak USD rallies commodities and a strong US dollar devalues commodities. This is the...
310 views0 comments
Ryan Delany
Aug 9, 20226 min read
Lay of the Land
#Coffee has confounded both bulls and bears with a sideways movement after one of the most dramatic bull markets in a generation. Since...
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Ryan Delany
Jul 7, 20228 min read
Spreadpocalypse Now
Recently a #coffee researcher friend of mine and I were discussing one of the key topics driving the #coffeemarket today: the disastrous...
766 views0 comments
Ryan Delany
Jun 17, 20225 min read
Cert Stocks Below 1 Million, What Next?
One of the key components that I use, when trying to ascertain fair value of #coffeefutures is the #certifiedinventory, and the outlook...
451 views0 comments
Ryan Delany
Jun 16, 20224 min read
Coffee Value Score: An Objective Measure of Coffee Value
The flagship product of my reports is something that I call my “Coffee Valuation Score.” The purpose of this report is to provide a...
802 views0 comments
Ryan Delany
Jun 8, 20225 min read
Understanding Fundamentals – the 2nd Most Important Skill a Trader Needs
Understanding the #fundamentals, the environment of #coffee #supply and #demand is the second most important skill that a #coffeetrader...
1,213 views0 comments
Ryan Delany
May 25, 20228 min read
Changing Landscape in the Coffee Market
The #coffeemarket is in a very different dynamic than it was 3 months ago, and we are getting near to a new paradigm: the bear market. In...
591 views0 comments
Ryan Delany
May 10, 20225 min read
Understanding Physical Coffee Prices
It is a well-worn cliché to those of us in the #coffeeindustry to compare coffees to wines but it helps us convey to the lay-person the...
6,255 views0 comments
Ryan Delany
May 3, 20226 min read
The Frost Rally is Over—Whats Next?
#Coffee prices have crossed the 200 day SMA 4 out of the last 5 trading sessions, and last week marks the first time that this key...
569 views0 comments
Ryan Delany
Apr 21, 20225 min read
Understanding the US Dollar Impact on the Coffee Market – Part 2 – Predicting the USD
The #USD directly impacts the price of #coffee (and all #commodities): Dollar strength lowers the prices of commodities and coffee, and...
361 views0 comments
Ryan Delany
Mar 23, 20225 min read
End of the Rally?
Over the last month and a half #coffee has lost 50c or nearly 20% of its value from peak to trough after a historic #bullmarket that saw...
503 views0 comments
Ryan Delany
Mar 17, 20224 min read
Introduction to the Big 5 Essential Coffee Reports
There is a lot of information out there on the #coffee market and many people in the coffee industry and across the supply chain can find...
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