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Ryan Delany
May 18, 20239 min read
How to Read our Free Technical Analysis Reports for Soft Commodities Markets
Intro As fundamental analysts, we believe prices are primarily driven by #supply and #demand. However, we also recognize the significant...
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Ryan Delany
Mar 28, 20237 min read
State of the Coffee Market
Half-Pregnant We are in a particularly awkward moment in #coffee, and the stakes are high for the direction of price. Already faced by...
855 views0 comments
Ryan Delany
Jan 10, 20235 min read
Coffee Destination Stocks – A Guide
In #Coffee, and in many #commodities like it, stocks (inventory levels) drive price. This is particularly true in coffee because the...
1,041 views0 comments
Ryan Delany
Aug 9, 20226 min read
Lay of the Land
#Coffee has confounded both bulls and bears with a sideways movement after one of the most dramatic bull markets in a generation. Since...
524 views0 comments
Ryan Delany
Jul 7, 20228 min read
Spreadpocalypse Now
Recently a #coffee researcher friend of mine and I were discussing one of the key topics driving the #coffeemarket today: the disastrous...
766 views0 comments
Ryan Delany
Jun 17, 20225 min read
Cert Stocks Below 1 Million, What Next?
One of the key components that I use, when trying to ascertain fair value of #coffeefutures is the #certifiedinventory, and the outlook...
451 views0 comments
Ryan Delany
Jun 8, 20225 min read
Understanding Fundamentals – the 2nd Most Important Skill a Trader Needs
Understanding the #fundamentals, the environment of #coffee #supply and #demand is the second most important skill that a #coffeetrader...
1,213 views0 comments
Ryan Delany
May 25, 20228 min read
Changing Landscape in the Coffee Market
The #coffeemarket is in a very different dynamic than it was 3 months ago, and we are getting near to a new paradigm: the bear market. In...
591 views0 comments
Ryan Delany
May 3, 20226 min read
The Frost Rally is Over—Whats Next?
#Coffee prices have crossed the 200 day SMA 4 out of the last 5 trading sessions, and last week marks the first time that this key...
569 views0 comments
Ryan Delany
Mar 23, 20225 min read
End of the Rally?
Over the last month and a half #coffee has lost 50c or nearly 20% of its value from peak to trough after a historic #bullmarket that saw...
503 views0 comments
Ryan Delany
Feb 18, 20227 min read
Understanding the US Dollar Impact on the Coffee Market - Part 1
#Coffee is both a financial product and a global #commodity. It is cultivated, consumed, shipped and traded across almost every country...
1,656 views0 comments
Ryan Delany
Jan 12, 20228 min read
How I Teach Coffee Trading
On January 24th, I will be teaching my first “Coffee Trader’s Course” of the new year and I wanted to share a little bit about my...
720 views0 comments
Ryan Delany
Nov 30, 20214 min read
OMG, Omicron! and the Effects on the Coffee Market
Today Fed Chairman Powell gave testimony before the US Senate where he cautioned on the economic impact of the #Omicron Variant on the US...
411 views0 comments
Ryan Delany
Nov 1, 20215 min read
The Bear Case for Coffee
The #Robusta spec position hit an all time high of 43% of OI and #Brazilian #farmers are reportedly holding back sales, referring to...
549 views0 comments
Ryan Delany
Oct 6, 20212 min read
Sea Change in the Cert Stocks
Over the last month #certifiedstocks in #Arabica #Coffee dropped 120k bags, 33,000 of which happened on October 5th. This is a bellwether...
246 views0 comments
Ryan Delany
Sep 7, 20214 min read
The Trade is Bullish (the Roaster is Not)
Like yin and yang, the Law of #Supply and the of Law of #Demand are complementary economic truths: When prices are high, supply...
368 views0 comments
Ryan Delany
Aug 19, 20213 min read
Why Coffee Certs are Different Now, and NOT Bearish
One of the most important data points to follow in the #coffeemarket is the certified stocks. Every day, I send out my #Coffee...
452 views0 comments
Ryan Delany
Aug 16, 20213 min read
GCA Stocks Return to Seasonal Expectations, Confirms Deficit
Last month the #GCAstocks, shocked to the downside when they came in below expectations at 5.78 mm bags. This month, we have a...
233 views0 comments
Ryan Delany
Aug 12, 20213 min read
Brazil Coffee: A Little Dry, or Very Dry?
For the past several weeks and months we have been hearing about #drought and #dryness in Brazil (from our friends like analysts Judy...
313 views0 comments
Ryan Delany
Aug 5, 20215 min read
A Macro Boon for Coffee
Yesterday the #BrazilianCentral Bank announced a rate increase of 1% to combat the rising #inflation. This is the largest increase since...
422 views0 comments
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