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How to Read our Free Technical Analysis Reports for Soft Commodities Markets
Intro As fundamental analysts, we believe prices are primarily driven by #supply and #demand. However, we also recognize the significant...

Ryan Delany
May 18, 20239 min read
652 views
1 comment


State of the Coffee Market
Half-Pregnant We are in a particularly awkward moment in #coffee, and the stakes are high for the direction of price. Already faced by...

Ryan Delany
Mar 28, 20237 min read
859 views
0 comments


Coffee Destination Stocks – A Guide
In #Coffee, and in many #commodities like it, stocks (inventory levels) drive price. This is particularly true in coffee because the...

Ryan Delany
Jan 10, 20235 min read
1,131 views
0 comments


Lay of the Land
#Coffee has confounded both bulls and bears with a sideways movement after one of the most dramatic bull markets in a generation. Since...

Ryan Delany
Aug 9, 20226 min read
525 views
0 comments


Spreadpocalypse Now
Recently a #coffee researcher friend of mine and I were discussing one of the key topics driving the #coffeemarket today: the disastrous...

Ryan Delany
Jul 7, 20228 min read
766 views
0 comments


Cert Stocks Below 1 Million, What Next?
One of the key components that I use, when trying to ascertain fair value of #coffeefutures is the #certifiedinventory, and the outlook...

Ryan Delany
Jun 17, 20225 min read
455 views
0 comments


Understanding Fundamentals – the 2nd Most Important Skill a Trader Needs
Understanding the #fundamentals, the environment of #coffee #supply and #demand is the second most important skill that a #coffeetrader...

Ryan Delany
Jun 8, 20225 min read
1,332 views
0 comments


Changing Landscape in the Coffee Market
The #coffeemarket is in a very different dynamic than it was 3 months ago, and we are getting near to a new paradigm: the bear market. In...

Ryan Delany
May 25, 20228 min read
593 views
0 comments


The Frost Rally is Over—Whats Next?
#Coffee prices have crossed the 200 day SMA 4 out of the last 5 trading sessions, and last week marks the first time that this key...

Ryan Delany
May 3, 20226 min read
569 views
0 comments


End of the Rally?
Over the last month and a half #coffee has lost 50c or nearly 20% of its value from peak to trough after a historic #bullmarket that saw...

Ryan Delany
Mar 23, 20225 min read
504 views
0 comments


Understanding the US Dollar Impact on the Coffee Market - Part 1
#Coffee is both a financial product and a global #commodity. It is cultivated, consumed, shipped and traded across almost every country...

Ryan Delany
Feb 18, 20227 min read
1,793 views
0 comments


How I Teach Coffee Trading
On January 24th, I will be teaching my first “Coffee Trader’s Course” of the new year and I wanted to share a little bit about my...

Ryan Delany
Jan 12, 20228 min read
807 views
0 comments


OMG, Omicron! and the Effects on the Coffee Market
Today Fed Chairman Powell gave testimony before the US Senate where he cautioned on the economic impact of the #Omicron Variant on the US...

Ryan Delany
Nov 30, 20214 min read
411 views
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The Bear Case for Coffee
The #Robusta spec position hit an all time high of 43% of OI and #Brazilian #farmers are reportedly holding back sales, referring to...

Ryan Delany
Nov 1, 20215 min read
549 views
0 comments


Sea Change in the Cert Stocks
Over the last month #certifiedstocks in #Arabica #Coffee dropped 120k bags, 33,000 of which happened on October 5th. This is a bellwether...

Ryan Delany
Oct 6, 20212 min read
254 views
0 comments


The Trade is Bullish (the Roaster is Not)
Like yin and yang, the Law of #Supply and the of Law of #Demand are complementary economic truths: When prices are high, supply...

Ryan Delany
Sep 7, 20214 min read
371 views
0 comments


Why Coffee Certs are Different Now, and NOT Bearish
One of the most important data points to follow in the #coffeemarket is the certified stocks. Every day, I send out my #Coffee...

Ryan Delany
Aug 19, 20213 min read
464 views
0 comments


GCA Stocks Return to Seasonal Expectations, Confirms Deficit
Last month the #GCAstocks, shocked to the downside when they came in below expectations at 5.78 mm bags. This month, we have a...

Ryan Delany
Aug 16, 20213 min read
233 views
0 comments


Brazil Coffee: A Little Dry, or Very Dry?
For the past several weeks and months we have been hearing about #drought and #dryness in Brazil (from our friends like analysts Judy...

Ryan Delany
Aug 12, 20213 min read
313 views
0 comments


A Macro Boon for Coffee
Yesterday the #BrazilianCentral Bank announced a rate increase of 1% to combat the rising #inflation. This is the largest increase since...

Ryan Delany
Aug 5, 20215 min read
422 views
0 comments
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