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Igor Bragato
Oct 94 min read
Brazil Forecasts Show Abundant Rainfall Underway
The Brazil precipitation outlook has made a dramatic turn around over the last few days, transitioning from dry forecasts igniting fears...
245 views0 comments
Ryan Delany
Aug 15, 20234 min read
El Niño Guide for the Coffee Market - Part 1
The period spanning 1997 to 1998 marked one of the most potent #ElNiño occurrences on record, exerting a substantial influence across the...
463 views0 comments
Ryan Delany
May 18, 20239 min read
How to Read our Free Technical Analysis Reports for Soft Commodities Markets
Intro As fundamental analysts, we believe prices are primarily driven by #supply and #demand. However, we also recognize the significant...
600 views1 comment
Ryan Delany
May 2, 20236 min read
The Impressive Rise of Robusta: S&D Considerations
#Robusta experienced a dramatic rally from 1750 in N up to nearly 2500 in April, a rally of 40%. #Arabica experienced a similar though...
418 views0 comments
Ryan Delany
Apr 20, 20233 min read
Approaching 2 Key Technical Thresholds in the Coffee Market
The coffee market has experienced an impressive rally recently, with both #Arabica (+34c,+19.8%) and #Robusta (+$27, +1.2%) markets...
605 views0 comments
Ryan Delany
Mar 28, 20237 min read
State of the Coffee Market
Half-Pregnant We are in a particularly awkward moment in #coffee, and the stakes are high for the direction of price. Already faced by...
855 views0 comments
Ryan Delany
Jan 10, 20235 min read
Coffee Destination Stocks – A Guide
In #Coffee, and in many #commodities like it, stocks (inventory levels) drive price. This is particularly true in coffee because the...
1,041 views0 comments
Ryan Delany
Nov 8, 20227 min read
Coffee Supply and Demand Made Easy
Understanding the #SupplyandDemand (S&D) balance sheet is essential for any professional #trader, but can also be extremely daunting. ...
1,069 views0 comments
Igor Bragato
Sep 21, 20223 min read
Brazilian Coffee Market Outlook - With Cocapec
On Sep 1st, 2022 we spoke with Adilson Machado, the manager of Cocapec, one Brazil’s premier Coffee Coops. Adilson himself is deeply...
350 views0 comments
Ryan Delany
May 25, 20228 min read
Changing Landscape in the Coffee Market
The #coffeemarket is in a very different dynamic than it was 3 months ago, and we are getting near to a new paradigm: the bear market. In...
591 views0 comments
Ryan Delany
Feb 9, 20225 min read
Breaking the Robusta Inversion
#Tradehouses have shipped at least 18,000 MT of #Robusta from #Indonesia and #Vietnam to #Europe in the month of January and there are...
813 views0 comments
Ryan Delany
Feb 1, 20227 min read
Coffee Calendar Spreads are On Fire
Yesterday, #Arabica #certifiedstocks dropped an impressive 70k and the #calendarspreads are going bananas. Calendar spreads in Arabica...
1,224 views0 comments
Ryan Delany
Jan 18, 20227 min read
Real Deal on the Brazilian Real: How Brazilian Forex Influences the Coffee Market
Our first rule of our coffee trading rules is “Know Brazil, know the BRL”. #Brazil is the powerhouse of the #coffeemarket. Boasting the...
925 views0 comments
Ryan Delany
Nov 11, 20213 min read
7 Data Points to Watch in Coffee
#Coffee is a rapidly changing market and while conviction is essential, we need to be prepared to change our view when the facts change....
413 views0 comments
Ryan Delany
Nov 1, 20215 min read
The Bear Case for Coffee
The #Robusta spec position hit an all time high of 43% of OI and #Brazilian #farmers are reportedly holding back sales, referring to...
549 views0 comments
Ryan Delany
Sep 15, 20214 min read
Robusta Inversion, Peak or Just Getting Started?
A few months back I wrote about the +22 inversion in #Robusta #coffeemarket and how that market gets "squeezed". Since then, the F/H...
342 views0 comments
Ryan Delany
Jul 9, 20214 min read
Squeeze in Robusta Spills into Arabica
(Edit: An earlier version of this article erroneously quoted the MiFiD position limits rather than the ICE Eur Delivery Limits. This has...
484 views0 comments
Ryan Delany
Jun 21, 20211 min read
Tis the Silly Season
We have now officially entered the #SillySeason as we prepare for potential #Frosts in #Brazil. According to my #Seasonality report, this...
30 views0 comments
Ryan Delany
Apr 25, 20212 min read
2 Points on ECF Stock Rise
Given the #EuropeanCoffeeFederation (#ECF)'s recent issuance of the stock report, I wanted to review the numbers and see what we can...
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