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Objective Coffee Weather Analysis on a Global Scale
Since #Coffee is an agricultural product, the weather is an essential component in the #coffeemarket. The fact that we must rely on...

Igor Bragato
Oct 18, 20225 min read
306 views
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How the Coffee Market Inversion can Break Itself
One of the most striking features of the #coffeemarket in recent times is the high inversion of calendar spreads instigated by the record...

Ryan Delany
Oct 11, 20225 min read
1,299 views
0 comments


How the Brazilian Elections Affect the Coffee Market
The Brazilian presidential elections are happening and the question that arises for us is: how does this affect the #coffeemarket? In...

Igor Bragato
Oct 6, 20227 min read
570 views
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Cert Stock Horror Show-Case Study of 1996
Halloween is coming this month, and in keeping with the spooky traditions of this month I want to share a number with all of my #coffee...

Ryan Delany
Oct 4, 20225 min read
734 views
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Why Technical Analysis is Controversial (and How to Use it Properly)
Technical Analysis is one of those topics that divides a lot of people in the #trading community--some people love it, and some people...

Ryan Delany
Sep 30, 20228 min read
942 views
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An Outlook of the Cerrado Coffee Crop in Brazil
On August 17th, we visited the city of Araguari, localized in the Cerrado Mineiro, one of Brazil’s main #coffee producing areas. Our...

Igor Bragato
Sep 1, 20226 min read
397 views
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Coffee Rallies 27c in 3 days, Bubble or Boom?
Just a few weeks ago #coffee was below $20 and the downtrend from $250 had decimated many bulls. However, since that peak bearishness,...

Ryan Delany
Aug 25, 20222 min read
651 views
0 comments


Invasion of the Certs
There are now an impressive 263k bags of #coffee pending grading in Antwerp, and this puts a different spin on the bullishness of the...

Ryan Delany
Aug 16, 20223 min read
454 views
0 comments


What the Latest Inflation Number Means for Coffee (and all Commodity) Prices
The overall framework in commodities is that a weak USD rallies commodities and a strong US dollar devalues commodities. This is the...

Ryan Delany
Aug 11, 20223 min read
312 views
0 comments


Lay of the Land
#Coffee has confounded both bulls and bears with a sideways movement after one of the most dramatic bull markets in a generation. Since...

Ryan Delany
Aug 9, 20226 min read
525 views
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Spreadpocalypse Now
Recently a #coffee researcher friend of mine and I were discussing one of the key topics driving the #coffeemarket today: the disastrous...

Ryan Delany
Jul 7, 20228 min read
766 views
0 comments


Cert Stocks Below 1 Million, What Next?
One of the key components that I use, when trying to ascertain fair value of #coffeefutures is the #certifiedinventory, and the outlook...

Ryan Delany
Jun 17, 20225 min read
455 views
0 comments


Coffee Value Score: An Objective Measure of Coffee Value
The flagship product of my reports is something that I call my “Coffee Valuation Score.” The purpose of this report is to provide a...

Ryan Delany
Jun 16, 20224 min read
847 views
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Understanding Fundamentals – the 2nd Most Important Skill a Trader Needs
Understanding the #fundamentals, the environment of #coffee #supply and #demand is the second most important skill that a #coffeetrader...

Ryan Delany
Jun 8, 20225 min read
1,332 views
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Changing Landscape in the Coffee Market
The #coffeemarket is in a very different dynamic than it was 3 months ago, and we are getting near to a new paradigm: the bear market. In...

Ryan Delany
May 25, 20228 min read
593 views
0 comments


Understanding Physical Coffee Prices
It is a well-worn cliché to those of us in the #coffeeindustry to compare coffees to wines but it helps us convey to the lay-person the...

Ryan Delany
May 10, 20225 min read
6,793 views
0 comments


The Frost Rally is Over—Whats Next?
#Coffee prices have crossed the 200 day SMA 4 out of the last 5 trading sessions, and last week marks the first time that this key...

Ryan Delany
May 3, 20226 min read
569 views
0 comments


Understanding the US Dollar Impact on the Coffee Market – Part 2 – Predicting the USD
The #USD directly impacts the price of #coffee (and all #commodities): Dollar strength lowers the prices of commodities and coffee, and...

Ryan Delany
Apr 21, 20225 min read
368 views
0 comments


End of the Rally?
Over the last month and a half #coffee has lost 50c or nearly 20% of its value from peak to trough after a historic #bullmarket that saw...

Ryan Delany
Mar 23, 20225 min read
504 views
0 comments


Introduction to the Big 5 Essential Coffee Reports
There is a lot of information out there on the #coffee market and many people in the coffee industry and across the supply chain can find...

Ryan Delany
Mar 17, 20224 min read
626 views
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