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Impact of Recent USD Trends on the Coffee Market – a Retrospective
The US #dollar is one of the many factors (of which fundamentals are primary) that influence the #coffeemarket. Notably in the last two...
Igor Bragato
Oct 23, 20243 min read
212 views
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Brazil Forecasts Show Abundant Rainfall Underway
The Brazil precipitation outlook has made a dramatic turn around over the last few days, transitioning from dry forecasts igniting fears...
Igor Bragato
Oct 9, 20244 min read
249 views
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Brazil Crop Risk Building from Dry Weather & High Temperatures
Brazil experienced a relatively early #coffee flowering this year, with some reports saying that up to 50% (50!?! Really? 🤨) of the crop...
Igor Bragato
Sep 21, 20235 min read
715 views
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Flowering Registered in Brazil’s Cerrado
On Aug 25th, we visited a few #coffee producing areas from the Cerrado (MG) region in Brazil and had the opportunity to witness a portion...
Igor Bragato
Sep 1, 20235 min read
302 views
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El Niño Guide for the Coffee Market - Part 1
The period spanning 1997 to 1998 marked one of the most potent #ElNiño occurrences on record, exerting a substantial influence across the...
Ryan Delany
Aug 15, 20234 min read
472 views
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Groking the Coffee Market
When I was a very green commodity analyst, my boss said something to me that I will never forget. I was being trained up on the job at...
Ryan Delany
Aug 10, 20235 min read
414 views
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Origin Focus – Ethiopia – Part 2
Ethiopia holds a significant position as the third largest #Arabica #coffee producer, considerably impacting the physical pricing of dry...
Ryan Delany
Jul 6, 20235 min read
393 views
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Coffee Destination Stocks Update: 5/31/2023
"When the best is gone, the best remains." With the gaping hole left by the discontinuation of the GCA stock report, the ECF stock report...
Ryan Delany
May 31, 20234 min read
431 views
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How to Read our Free Technical Analysis Reports for Soft Commodities Markets
Intro As fundamental analysts, we believe prices are primarily driven by #supply and #demand. However, we also recognize the significant...
Ryan Delany
May 18, 20239 min read
647 views
1 comment

What AI Will (and Will Not) Mean for Commodity Markets
Someone asked me about what #AI will mean in the #coffeemarket and I gave a bit of a flippant answer about how it wouldn't change much,...
Ryan Delany
Apr 25, 20238 min read
560 views
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Brief Coffee Crop Tour in Cerrado & Alta Mogiana, Brazil
On Apr 5th to 6th, we did an informal 2-day trip in Cerrado (MG) and Alta Mogiana (SP), which is in the heart the main #coffee producing...
Igor Bragato
Apr 14, 20235 min read
383 views
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State of the Coffee Market
Half-Pregnant We are in a particularly awkward moment in #coffee, and the stakes are high for the direction of price. Already faced by...
Ryan Delany
Mar 28, 20237 min read
859 views
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Coffee Destination Stocks – A Guide
In #Coffee, and in many #commodities like it, stocks (inventory levels) drive price. This is particularly true in coffee because the...
Ryan Delany
Jan 10, 20235 min read
1,124 views
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Calendar Spreads and their Insights into Commodities Trading
While Calendar Spreads may seem confusing at first, they are actually easy to understand, and more importantly, very useful for...
Ryan Delany
Dec 15, 20225 min read
1,196 views
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Commodity Index Funds: Beyond the Rebalance
Every year around December, those of us in #coffee (and in the commodity industry in general) start talking about “the rebalance.” While...
Ryan Delany
Dec 8, 20225 min read
547 views
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End of an Era: Coffee Market Back in Carry
The current Z/H #calendarspread has been inverted for an entire year (November 2021) and today, it touched a low of -2.6c and is...
Ryan Delany
Nov 15, 20227 min read
937 views
0 comments

Hailstorm Smacks Brazil Coffee
A massive #hailstorm happened across the #Brazilian #coffee growing regions this Tuesday, and more is possible today. Many cities were...
Igor Bragato
Nov 10, 20223 min read
1,054 views
1 comment

Coffee Supply and Demand Made Easy
Understanding the #SupplyandDemand (S&D) balance sheet is essential for any professional #trader, but can also be extremely daunting. ...
Ryan Delany
Nov 8, 20227 min read
1,118 views
0 comments


Technicals Suggest Coffee Bull Market is Over
Despite low certified inventory levels and a persistent inversion, the #coffeemarket has maintained a bearish trend and now even broken...
Igor Bragato
Oct 27, 20224 min read
543 views
0 comments

What the Heck is going on in Coffee?
Today #coffeefutures traded below 190c for the first time since July 2021. Despite #coffee prices hitting a high in the 260s back in Feb...
Ryan Delany
Oct 20, 20225 min read
968 views
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