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Igor Bragato
Oct 27, 20224 min read
Technicals Suggest Coffee Bull Market is Over
Despite low certified inventory levels and a persistent inversion, the #coffeemarket has maintained a bearish trend and now even broken...
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Igor Bragato
Oct 6, 20227 min read
How the Brazilian Elections Affect the Coffee Market
The Brazilian presidential elections are happening and the question that arises for us is: how does this affect the #coffeemarket? In...
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Igor Bragato
Sep 21, 20223 min read
Brazilian Coffee Market Outlook - With Cocapec
On Sep 1st, 2022 we spoke with Adilson Machado, the manager of Cocapec, one Brazil’s premier Coffee Coops. Adilson himself is deeply...
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Ryan Delany
Aug 9, 20226 min read
Lay of the Land
#Coffee has confounded both bulls and bears with a sideways movement after one of the most dramatic bull markets in a generation. Since...
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Ryan Delany
May 25, 20228 min read
Changing Landscape in the Coffee Market
The #coffeemarket is in a very different dynamic than it was 3 months ago, and we are getting near to a new paradigm: the bear market. In...
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Ryan Delany
May 3, 20226 min read
The Frost Rally is Over—Whats Next?
#Coffee prices have crossed the 200 day SMA 4 out of the last 5 trading sessions, and last week marks the first time that this key...
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Ryan Delany
Nov 30, 20214 min read
OMG, Omicron! and the Effects on the Coffee Market
Today Fed Chairman Powell gave testimony before the US Senate where he cautioned on the economic impact of the #Omicron Variant on the US...
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Ryan Delany
Sep 2, 20213 min read
The Struggle for $2 Coffee, Comparison with 2014
4 days in a row now #CoffeeMarket has tried and failed to break the psychologically significant 200 level. Back in 2014 #coffeefutures...
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Ryan Delany
Aug 5, 20215 min read
A Macro Boon for Coffee
Yesterday the #BrazilianCentral Bank announced a rate increase of 1% to combat the rising #inflation. This is the largest increase since...
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Ryan Delany
Jul 8, 20213 min read
FOMC Might be Bullish Coffee
I read the Federal Reserve minutes so you don't have to! Steady as she goes from the #FederalReserve. This may disappoint #USD bulls who...
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Ryan Delany
May 28, 20213 min read
*Is the Rally Here?*
Another big day in the #CoffeeMarkets this time spurred by two pieces of news: 1) Brazilian gov't is issuing water advisories in several...
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Ryan Delany
May 4, 20211 min read
#Bullish #Coffee Spreads Driven by #Fundamentals?
The back month calendar spreads are firm. U22/Z22 is backwardated as of this writing and H22/K22, K22/N22, N22/U22, are all > -1 and...
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Ryan Delany
Apr 28, 20211 min read
Commodities Take a Break, Coffee Gets Support
We have been talking about the "macro" trade recently with the entire #commoditymarket getting a boost from the weak #USdollar and...
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Ryan Delany
Apr 22, 20212 min read
What does Disaster look like for Coffee? 170c and beyond...
Those of us following the #coffeemarket, know that there was heat damage that caused flowers to abort from the #coffee trees in #Brazil,...
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