Robusta Inversion, Peak or Just Getting Started?
A few months back I wrote about the +22 inversion in #Robusta #coffeemarket and how that market gets "squeezed". Since then, the F/H...
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Ryan Delany
Aug 19, 20213 min read
Why Coffee Certs are Different Now, and NOT Bearish
One of the most important data points to follow in the #coffeemarket is the certified stocks. Every day, I send out my #Coffee...
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Ryan Delany
Aug 5, 20215 min read
A Macro Boon for Coffee
Yesterday the #BrazilianCentral Bank announced a rate increase of 1% to combat the rising #inflation. This is the largest increase since...
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Ryan Delany
Jul 27, 20213 min read
Volatility and Inversion in the Calendar Spreads
The #Arabica #coffeemarket was inverted by 5 bps in N22/U22 as of 7:18am. This is VERY unusual. I'm not trying to be alarmist here, I...
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Ryan Delany
Jul 26, 20214 min read
Margin Requirements and Frost #3: What to Expect
Today, the #coffeemarket (#Arabica) rallied +26c at the highs today to 215.20 in September based on #margin increases and renewed #Frost...
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Ryan Delany
Jul 9, 20214 min read
Squeeze in Robusta Spills into Arabica
(Edit: An earlier version of this article erroneously quoted the MiFiD position limits rather than the ICE Eur Delivery Limits. This has...
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Ryan Delany
Jun 24, 20212 min read
GCA Stocks vs KC Stocks Which Determines Price?
We have a fundamental disconnect between #CertStocks which are approaching the 5 year highs and #GCAstocks which are flirting with their...
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Ryan Delany
Jun 20, 20213 min read
The Doomsday and Mini-Doomsday Inflation Scenarios
The #FederalReserve's #FOMC met this past week, and the results are relevant to us in the #coffeemarket, and indeed all of the...
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Ryan Delany
Apr 25, 20212 min read
2 Points on ECF Stock Rise
Given the #EuropeanCoffeeFederation (#ECF)'s recent issuance of the stock report, I wanted to review the numbers and see what we can...
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Ryan Delany
Apr 22, 20212 min read
What does Disaster look like for Coffee? 170c and beyond...
Those of us following the #coffeemarket, know that there was heat damage that caused flowers to abort from the #coffee trees in #Brazil,...
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