Brazil Forecasts Show Abundant Rainfall Underway
The Brazil precipitation outlook has made a dramatic turn around over the last few days, transitioning from dry forecasts igniting fears...
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Igor Bragato
Sep 1, 20235 min read
Flowering Registered in Brazil’s Cerrado
On Aug 25th, we visited a few #coffee producing areas from the Cerrado (MG) region in Brazil and had the opportunity to witness a portion...
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Ryan Delany
Jul 6, 20235 min read
Origin Focus – Ethiopia – Part 2
Ethiopia holds a significant position as the third largest #Arabica #coffee producer, considerably impacting the physical pricing of dry...
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Ryan Delany
May 2, 20236 min read
The Impressive Rise of Robusta: S&D Considerations
#Robusta experienced a dramatic rally from 1750 in N up to nearly 2500 in April, a rally of 40%. #Arabica experienced a similar though...
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Ryan Delany
Apr 20, 20233 min read
Approaching 2 Key Technical Thresholds in the Coffee Market
The coffee market has experienced an impressive rally recently, with both #Arabica (+34c,+19.8%) and #Robusta (+$27, +1.2%) markets...
604 views0 comments
Igor Bragato
Apr 14, 20235 min read
Brief Coffee Crop Tour in Cerrado & Alta Mogiana, Brazil
On Apr 5th to 6th, we did an informal 2-day trip in Cerrado (MG) and Alta Mogiana (SP), which is in the heart the main #coffee producing...
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Ryan Delany
Mar 28, 20237 min read
State of the Coffee Market
Half-Pregnant We are in a particularly awkward moment in #coffee, and the stakes are high for the direction of price. Already faced by...
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Ryan Delany
Jan 10, 20235 min read
Coffee Destination Stocks – A Guide
In #Coffee, and in many #commodities like it, stocks (inventory levels) drive price. This is particularly true in coffee because the...
1,026 views0 comments
Ryan Delany
Dec 15, 20225 min read
Calendar Spreads and their Insights into Commodities Trading
While Calendar Spreads may seem confusing at first, they are actually easy to understand, and more importantly, very useful for...
1,110 views0 comments
Ryan Delany
Dec 8, 20225 min read
Commodity Index Funds: Beyond the Rebalance
Every year around December, those of us in #coffee (and in the commodity industry in general) start talking about “the rebalance.” While...
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Ryan Delany
Nov 15, 20227 min read
End of an Era: Coffee Market Back in Carry
The current Z/H #calendarspread has been inverted for an entire year (November 2021) and today, it touched a low of -2.6c and is...
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Ryan Delany
Oct 4, 20225 min read
Cert Stock Horror Show-Case Study of 1996
Halloween is coming this month, and in keeping with the spooky traditions of this month I want to share a number with all of my #coffee...
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Igor Bragato
Sep 21, 20223 min read
Brazilian Coffee Market Outlook - With Cocapec
On Sep 1st, 2022 we spoke with Adilson Machado, the manager of Cocapec, one Brazil’s premier Coffee Coops. Adilson himself is deeply...
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Igor Bragato
Sep 1, 20226 min read
An Outlook of the Cerrado Coffee Crop in Brazil
On August 17th, we visited the city of Araguari, localized in the Cerrado Mineiro, one of Brazil’s main #coffee producing areas. Our...
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Ryan Delany
May 25, 20228 min read
Changing Landscape in the Coffee Market
The #coffeemarket is in a very different dynamic than it was 3 months ago, and we are getting near to a new paradigm: the bear market. In...
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Ryan Delany
Feb 1, 20227 min read
Coffee Calendar Spreads are On Fire
Yesterday, #Arabica #certifiedstocks dropped an impressive 70k and the #calendarspreads are going bananas. Calendar spreads in Arabica...
1,217 views0 comments
Ryan Delany
Jan 18, 20227 min read
Real Deal on the Brazilian Real: How Brazilian Forex Influences the Coffee Market
Our first rule of our coffee trading rules is “Know Brazil, know the BRL”. #Brazil is the powerhouse of the #coffeemarket. Boasting the...
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Ryan Delany
Nov 11, 20213 min read
7 Data Points to Watch in Coffee
#Coffee is a rapidly changing market and while conviction is essential, we need to be prepared to change our view when the facts change....
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Ryan Delany
Oct 6, 20212 min read
Sea Change in the Cert Stocks
Over the last month #certifiedstocks in #Arabica #Coffee dropped 120k bags, 33,000 of which happened on October 5th. This is a bellwether...
246 views0 comments
Ryan Delany
Oct 4, 20213 min read
Raining on the Bullish Parade
The #Brazil 22/23 #coffee crop has been through a lot this year already, but over the weekend we finally had some good news for the...
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